Moore's Law Dead by 2022, Expert Says
Rick Merritt, EETimes
8/27/2013 04:50 PM EDT
PALO ALTO, Calif. — Moore's Law -- the ability to pack twice as many transistors on the same sliver of silicon every two years -- will come to an end as soon as 2020 at the 7nm node, said a keynoter at the Hot Chips conference here.
While many have predicted the end of Moore's Law, few have done it so passionately or convincingly. The predictions are increasing as lithography advances stall and process technology approaches atomic limits.
"For planning horizons, I pick 2020 as the earliest date we could call it dead," said Robert Colwell, who seeks follow-on technologies as director of the microsystems group at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. "You could talk me into 2022, but whether it will come at 7 or 5nm, it's a big deal," said the engineer who once managed a Pentium-class processor design at Intel.
E-mail This Article | Printer-Friendly Page |
Related News
- Nvidia CEO Says Moore's Law Is Dead
- Samsung Wants Moore's Law End, Analyst Says
- Is Moore's Law Dead? Does It Matter?
- Are Chiplets Enough to Save Moore's Law?
- Estimated Shipments of iPhone 14 Devices in 2022 Have Been Lowered to 78.1 Million Units Due to Impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on Foxconn's Base in Zhengzhou, Says TrendForce
Breaking News
- Logic Design Solutions launches Gen4 NVMe host IP
- ULYSS1, Microcontroller (MCU) for Automotive market, designed by Cortus is available
- M31 is partnering with Taiwan Cooperative Bank to launch an Employee Stock Ownership Trust to strengthen talent retention
- Sondrel announces CEO transition to lead next phase of growth
- JEDEC Publishes LPDDR5 CAMM2 Connector Performance Standard
Most Popular
- Arm's power play will backfire
- Alphawave Semi Selected for AI Innovation Research Grant from UK Government's Advanced Research + Invention Agency
- Secure-IC obtains the first worldwide CAVP Certification of Post-Quantum Cryptography algorithms, tested by SERMA Safety & Security
- Weebit Nano continuing to make progress with potential customers and qualifying its technology Moving closer to finalisation of licensing agreements Q1 FY25 Quarterly Activities Report
- PUFsecurity Collaborate with Arm on PSA Certified RoT Component Level 3 Certification for its Crypto Coprocessor to Provide Robust Security Subsystem Essential for the AIoT era